More or Less Episodes Available now
The Census, and what is 'rare'?
Tim Harford looks at why the estimate for Eastern Europeans coming to the UK was so wrong.
Royal twins and the Autumn Statement
Tim Harford asks what severe morning sickness tells us about the chances of having twins.
How reliable is Kevin Pietersen?
Assessing the cricketer's performance in the recent test match between England and India.
The art of polling, Kevin Pietersen, stacking lego
Tim Harford looks at opinion polling, and how high you can stack Lego bricks.
Fergie-time
Fergie-Time. Do Manchester United really get more added time at the end of matches
Ash Dieback and Fergie-Time
Tim Harford fells some ash tree related statistics and asks if Fergie-time really exists.
Brain food and bacteria
Ruth Alexander explains the numbers and statistics in the news and in life.
Polling voodoo? Predicting the US election
How did Nate Silver predict the outcome of voting in every state in the US elections?
US Convictions
Do 99.5% of prosecutions in the US end up in convictions as Conrad Black claims?
Predicting L'Aquila Earthquake: is it right to blame the scientists?
On More or Less this week we look at how the probability of an earthquake is estimated.